Turning Point?

I may be premature saying this, but I really don’t think so. I believe we’ve reached a turning point in this election and it’s turning for Romney. No, it isn’t the attacks on our embassies in the middle east that is expanding to other Islamic countries today. The turning point was earlier this week.

Obama’s post-convention bounce is over. Instead of a bounce, it was more like a “Thud!” The media hyped the convention and tried to give the impression that it was all wonderful and everything was great for democrats.

It isn’t.

From the removal of God in their platform, to the non-recognition of Jerusalem as the capitol of Israel, to using photos of Russian naval ships in a video that was supposed to show support for our servicemen and veterans, the democrats have inadvertently exposed themselves to the nation—and the nation saw it all. Yes, the dems, over the loud vocal objections of their delegates, reinstated God into their party’s plank saying it was just an oversight.

Yeah. Sure. You can fool the democrat cool-aid drinkers but not all of them. The country saw the true nature of the democrat party.

They didn’t like it.

Evidence of that turning point began to emerge this week. Here in Missouri, despite the attacks of the democrats and the establishment ‘Pubs, Todd Akin may have reached a turning point in his campaign against Claire McCaskill.

On Wednesday, Rasmussen release a poll showing the Akin had narrowed his earlier 9 point gap to 6 points. That poll was conducted over the weekend.

The fallout appears to linger in the Missouri Senate race, with incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill still holding a six-point lead over Republican challenger Todd Akin. But the race is tightening.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds McCaskill will 49% support to Akin’s 43%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate in the contest, and another four percent (4%) are undecided. — Rasmussen.

Citizens United commissioned a poll in Missouri this week that supports the turning point. Romney leads Obama by 20 pts(!) and Akin leads McCaskill by 5.  I went through the poll internals to see if it contained any rightward skew. Yes, there was some but not nearly as much as I expected given the results.

The party, gender demographics were equal. The age distribution was higher among those 50 and over—those who are more likely to vote. The geographic distribution was skewed to the regions containing St. Louis, Kansas City, Springfield and Columbia. Those areas are not ‘Pub strongholds. You’d expect those areas to lean to the democrats.  One area of skew was the racial divisions, Only 8% of those polled were black.  That seems odd when you consider the geographic distribution. In short, I found nothing in the poll dynamics to make me believe this poll was skewed beyond the usual statistical deviation.

Yesterday, a Rasmussen poll confirmed Romney’s rise in Missouri.

Mitt Romney has edged back into the lead in Missouri.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that Romney earns the support of 48% of Likely Missouri Voters, while President Obama picks up 45% of the vote. Four percent (4%) like another candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. — Rasmussen.

Today, new Rassmussen polls arrived in my inbox that covers those “inmportant” swing states.  Romney has risen above Obama again.

Rasmussen has a record and reputation for accuracy. In 2008, Rasmussen was the most accurate pollster, followed closely by Pew.  Consequently, I tend to believe their polls and those polls look good for ‘Pubs in November.

I’d be more confident if the ‘Pub establishment weren’t so busy stabbing conservative candidates, like Todd Akin, in the back—‘Pub establishment types like Karl Rove, Rience Priebus, and now Haley Barbour. I’d be happier and more confident in winning this election if the ‘Pub establishment wasn’t working so hard to hand it to the democrats.

There is an increase in grassroots support for Akin. One example is that pleas from the RNC for donations in Missouri is dropping. Conservatives are funneling their money to Akin instead. It appears, from the actions of our ‘Pub leadership in Washington, the ‘Pub establishment is more concerned with the rise of grassroots conservatism than they are with taking the Senate and the WH back from the dems.

What a sad state of affairs that is!

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