A Campaign of Lowered Expectations

As we move towards November, Romney and Obama appear tied, or nearly so, in the polls. Some of the polls are very questionable—oversampling dems vs. ‘pubs by as much as 12%. Others, like Rasmussen, have the difference only 2% in Obama’s favour. That’s well within the margin of error. The battleground states appear to be tightening as well.

The margin of error for 1,000 interviews among registered voters is 3.1 percentage points, and the margin is 3.4 percentage points among 832 likely voters. The poll was conducted from Sept. 26 to 30.

Meanwhile, in the all-important swing states of Florida and Virginia, Mr. Romney has seen his standing tick up from mid-September in new NBC News/Marist/Wall Street Journal polls. Mr. Obama holds statistically insignificant leads of 1 point and 2 points, respectively: 47 percent to 46 percent in Florida and 48 percent to 46 percent in Virginia. In the previous polls, he held identical 5-point leads, 49 percent to 44 percent, in both states.

Ohio, though — at least in public polling — continues to appear as a potential firewall for Mr. Obama. He holds an 8-point lead, 51 percent to 43 percent in the Buckeye State — essentially unchanged from a 7-point lead in mid-Septmber at 50 percent to 43 percent.  — By David Sherfinski – The Washington Times,October 3, 2012, 09:38AM.

The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll of likely voters has the national spread between Obama and Romney as 3%. That matches last week’s Rasmussen poll. At the state level, the poll used “registered” voters and those polls had a wider spread. That begs the question, “Why use likely voters for the national coverage but registered voters at the state level?”

It’s as if the pollsters are hedging their bets.  A sense of lowered expectations is a keystone in the dem agenda—four years isn’t enough to ruin fix the country so we need another four years to finish the job.

Lowered expectations extend to tonight’s debate between Obama and Romney.

(CNN) — The Obama and Romney campaigns are seeking to manage — and in some cases lower — expectations for their candidate’s performance in the first presidential debate.

Obama advisers threw out the first pitch in the expectations game on Sunday, with Robert Gibbs saying that Romney is primed for success following a string of debates during the rigorous campaign for the Republican nomination.

“Mitt Romney, I think, has an advantage, because he’s been through 20 of these debates in the primaries over the last year,” Gibbs said on Fox News. “He even bragged that he was declared the winner in 16 of those debates. So I think, in that sense, having been through this much more recently than President Obama, I think he starts with an advantage.” — CNN, updated 5:47 PM EDT, Fri September 28, 2012.

For many of us on the right, Romney wasn’t our primary choice…nor secondary in many cases. But…he’s what we have. Romney, for the most part, has been making a low-keyed campaign.  We continue to wait for him to campaign as he did against Gingrich and Santorum. It worked in the primaries. Why should it not work against Obama? I can’t answer that question.

We’re getting closer to the election and contrary to some pundits, Romney isn’t gaining support. I’m beginning to believe some establishment ‘pubs prefer to be the underdog yapping around Obama than to be pushed into the position of actually leading us out of this mess.

We need a fighter in this election. Romney can be that fighter—he’s been one before as we’ve seen in the primaries. It’s time, no, past time, to take off the gloves. There’s no future in being a gentlemen. The dems aren’t.

Sarah Times Two

I had missed her the previous times she had visited Kansas City. I was not skipping this opportunity.  Sarah Palin and her family, Todd, Willow and Piper, were visiting Friday to stump for Sarah Steelman. The event took place at The Berry Patch outside Cleveland, MO—the largest Blue Berry farm in the state, Friday evening.

We took our friend, Jim W, along. He’s a big Sarah Palin fan. The notice we received said the “gate” would open at 5PM, and the event would start at 6PM with BBQ and music afterward.

We arrived early; a bit before 5PM. There was around a hundred people already there, excluding the vans and setup for two local TV stations, and a large truck from the AFP, the Americans For Prosperity.  Thirty minutes later the crowd had swelled to several hundred more. I would estimate the crowd to be in excess of 500 people at its peak.

The first Sarah Steelman campaign worker we saw was a friend, Jason Smith, a Missouri State Representative from Salem, MO. Jason has visited our church many times and has friends in our area.

We talked with Jason for awhile and with Sarah Steelman who had joined us. After we had talked for a few minutes I noticed a large RV parked near some trees. I don’t remember if it was Jason or Sarah who mentioned, “That’s the Palin RV. Todd drove it down from Iowa. Sarah will be flying in to the Executive Airport (Olathe, KS) and then they will take the RV to Sarah’s next event.” It was a really nice RV!

At 6PM, Steve Tilley opened the event.

Steve Tilley, MO Speaker of the House

Yes, it’s a poor photo. A smartphone camera doesn’t zoom worth a hoot. At least, it’s my photo. Not one I found on the ‘net.

Sarah Steelman was next. She spoke for fifteen to twenty minutes. Sarah Palin landed around 5:30PM at the closest airport and was being driven to the event site. I don’t know if she had arrived yet when Sarah Steelman started speaking.

Sarah Steelman

The Finale was Sarah Palin. Her remarks hit the internet, Newsmax and others, before the local TV stations aired her.  I don’t know who fed the audio and photos to Newsmax but they were fast!

Sarah Palin at The Berry Patch, Cleveland, MO, Friday, August 3rd, 2012

            Sarah Palin Supporting Sarah Steelman

Sarah Palin was wearing a “Super Sarah” t-shirt. I don’t know which Sarah was super—probably both.  The local news people put a lot of emphasis on the t-shirt. They seemed to think it was a big deal.

The BBQ was from KC Masterpiece. The Two Sarahs served the people along with Sarah Palin’s daughters, Willow and Piper.

Sarah and Sarah

Sarah Steelman and Sarah Palin serving BBQ to the crowd at The Berry Farm, August 3rd, 2012

Sarah, Willow, Piper Palin

Our friend, Jim W, took a baseball with him and asked for Sarah Palin’s autograph. She called for Todd and both signed it.  The baseball is one Jim caught at a Cardinals game—a foul ball that landed right in his hand.

I saw a number of ‘Pub pols at the event. Many took advantage of the photo opportunity while others just wanted to wheel ‘n deal with the establishment. One, who knows I’m voting for his opponent, snubbed me. I thought it was funny and proved my opinion of him.

It was a great evening. Too bad it takes an election for such events and gatherings to happen.

The election tomorrow will be interesting. The Tea Party has been in the background, working from inside. I wonder if they will surprise the establishment come tomorrow night.

Friday Follies for August 3rd, 2012

It’s time for the Follies again. As usual, it’s because I have not found a core topic of the day.  This week has seen a momentous event. Christians and conservative fighting back against the liberal tyranny.

The Huckleberry is taking credit for Chick-Fil-A appreciation day. Truth be told, I think it was a spontaneous event. I heard too many commentators say the same before Huckleberry’s radio  program was aired.  Be that as it may, everyone, especially the libs, were surprised by result. 

Here in Kansas City, lines of cars were blocks long to enter the Chick-Fil-A drive-through.  The local TV stations, the Fox affiliate excepted, barely mentioned the event as did the KC “Red” Star.  If I remember correctly, the Star placed a small report about the size of the response on page eight.

Even cartoonists got into the act.  The best I saw was the one below by Glenn McCoy.

Chick-Fil-A Appreciation Day***

Missouri’s primary approaches. I’ve been an outside observer in previous elections. Other than supporting the generic Tea Party in 2010, this election is the first I’ve taken a more spirited interest.

I have some favorites. Everyone does. It would be unusual if anyone didn’t favor one candidate over another. This election is different for me. I’ve come to personally know—and admire, some of the candidates. I’ve become friends with a few office holders. I’ve also had time to spend some one-on-one time with a number of the candidates.

No election is corruption free. By corruption I don’t mean voter fraud. No, by corruption I mean fraud to the voters. By my observation there are three types of candidates.

The first type and I would hope the majority, are driven to reverse the trends our county, our state and our nation has created—debt, loss of liberty, purposeful malfeasance by government officials and an agenda to destroy our historical and cultural traditions.

The second type of candidate is plentiful, too.  He’s the good ol’ boy who believes that since he has, “paid his dues,” he deserves to be elected or elevated to office.  All too many of these expect and receive the support of the political establishment because, “It’s their turn.”

Frequently you can recognize them by their campaign strategy. They are the first to start slinging slime and mud, spreading lies about their opponents while saying nothing about their own philosophy and accomplishments. Probably they are silent about their accomplishments because they have none.

That in itself is a sad state of affairs for those already in office. When their record is nothing more than, “Me, too!” it makes you wonder just what their qualifications actually are. My rule of thumb when a candidate initiates a smear campaign is to vote for the other candidate—or in a multi-candidate field, the recipient of that smear.

I can’t abide a liar. I personally vet the claims of the candidates. When I determine who is the liar, I support his opponent.

The third type of candidate is the worse. These are the corrupters. Oh, they don’t believe they are corrupt. They just take advantage of the opportunities of their offices.  Cass County has a history of corruption covering decades. The corruption has existed so long that many from both parties believe it has become standard practice. Even with the rise of the ‘Pubs in the county these last few years, corruption still exists and major and minor scales.

We have an excellent example of this minor corruption just now being exposed. I don’t have to name that example. It has appeared in the local news outlets already.

Misuse of public funds is frequently the result. It matters not if it is through nepotism, taking personal advantage of no-bid projects, or wasting money to gain favor through corporate welfare, these pols will eventually be found and exposed. It is those of that same mindset that we must remove from office or insure they never achieve it.

Am I disappointed in my fellow ‘Pubs?  Yes, to an extent. I know that some who may win next week are truly unfit for office.  Will I vote for them next Fall? Reluctantly, yes. Unfit they may be, but on their worse day, they are still better than a democrat.

Or at least I hope so. Saying that exposes the sad state of our nation, state, and county.

Friday Follies for July 13, 2012

I didn’t realize until this moment that today is Friday the 13th!  Heh!  I don’t care. I’m not superstitious. 

***

Last night was the local ‘Pub monthly meeting.  It was held in the new county HQ. There were few chairs—standing room only. To say “crowded” was an understatement. Our meetings are usually more for meetin’ ‘n greetin’, the politician’s favorite past-time. This one was no exception. I’m not much of a talker. My leg had been hurting all day so we slipped out after grabbing a yard sign for a friend who’s running for office.

One thing struck me.  The “usuals”, those who come to almost every meeting, were there.  There too were some who rarely attend. The reason they were attending is that the Missouri primary is less than a month away and a number of the office holders have primary opponents. I saw several office holders present that I haven’t seen since the county ‘Pub Christmas dinner. Funny how the hot breath of unemployment, in this case losing office, makes a politician more visible to the public.

Many of these folks have become good friends. I’ve supported many with cash, passed out flyers, stood outside polls to help persuade those who arrive still undecided on a candidate. I do my bit, small though it be, to support those who have the same ideals as my wife and I.  But I will describe these events as I see them and will undoubtedly ruffle a feather or two.

I’m not criticizing. It’s human nature. The closer we come to an election, the greater the need to meet with other candidates, make or reaffirm alliances, and for some, to do a little plotting.  I have named myself an Observer of these events. I’m not interesting in running for public office, with one minor exception. But frequently, these meetings make great theater.

***

Some news on the national front. Romney has finally gotten some backbone.  He has publicly called Obama a liar.  It’s about time! As others have said, Romney should treat Obama with the same tactics he treated Santorum, Gingrich and others.  Those were Romney’s fellow Republicans. He must not be less lenient to Obama.

Whether this tactic is working won’t be known from some time yet but there is some early indications that Obama is in deep, deep trouble. His tactics aren’t working.

Polls Prove Romney Outsmarted the Media … Again

For weeks, all we’ve heard in reference to the media/Obama-led attacks against Romney’s so-called outsourcing and offshore accounts is the following: “Romney needs to respond… Romney doesn’t have a response… It’s time for Romney to respond.” Across the media spectrum, we’ve heard this from Obama’s Media Palace Guards on Twitter, in op-eds disguised as straight news, and from television’s talking heads. The media has quite purposefully turned this call for Romney to respond into an incessant drumbeat. But…

It’s a trap.

You see, the outsourcing charge is a bald-faced lie and the offshore-account charge is nothing more than a smear. It was the Washington Post that started the outsourcing lie and it was an Occupy-supporter in Vanity Fair who started the offshore-account smear.

A lie is a lie is a lie.

And a lie can’t gain much traction because, other than the false charge, there’s nothing else for the corrupt media to talk about. But one way to extend a false narrative is to pressure the victim of the lie to respond. A response automatically gives the narrative another few days of life, but as a result only does more damage to the victim. Therefore… a trap.

By not responding, the Romney campaign played a nerve-wracking (for his supporters) game of chicken but ultimately made the wise decision not to feed this narrative fire — to not be the ones who gave the lies artificial life through the pointless act of trying to prove a negative.

And today, polls show Romney made the exact right decision:

Two things have become clear in the presidential race over the past month. One, it’s evident that President Obama’s campaign team believes, with good justification, that attacking Romney’s record at Bain Capital to portray him as a wealthy, out-of-touch millionaire is their most effective line of attack. Second, it’s becoming clear that the attacks are doing more to buy the Obama campaign time than seriously change the trajectory of the race.

For all the attention paid to the effectiveness of President Obama’s Bain-themed attacks, it’s remarkable how Obama has been stuck right around 47 percent for a very long time.  As the Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza documented, the president’s team has handily outspent Romney and his allied super PACs, pouring in $91 million into eight swing states in an early spending barrage intended to make Romney seem an unacceptable challenger.  But for all that effort, the numbers haven’t moved much at all: The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll out today shows the race deadlocked at 47 percent. Yesterday’s USA Today/Gallup swing state poll showed Obama statistically tied with Romney, the exact same result the survey showed one month ago.

Meanwhile, in the coming months, Romney should have a spending advantage, having significantly outraised Obama over the last two months.  Along with the RNC, the campaign has $160 million cash-on-hand, a total that will likely be greater than the Obama team’s money. (The Obama campaign tellingly didn’t release their cash-on-hand figures.)  That will allow Romney to match or surpass Obama on the airwaves, having survived a period when he was outgunned.

One of the pieces of bait the media used to try and get Romney to respond was to bring up the damage the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth did to John Kerry in ’04. The myth is that Kerry ignored the criticism of his war record for too long and that this cost him the election.  

But that is a myth. The difference between the Swift Boat Vets questioning Kerry’s biography about his time in Vietnam and the media/Obama led outsource/offshore attacks is that the Vets were telling the truth and Obama and the media are lying. There’s absolutely no upside for Romney to breathe life into a false narrative from a defensive crouch. None.

According to that new Washington Post poll, both men are tied at 47/47.   But had a gullible Romney blinked and been fooled into letting himself get wrapped ’round the axle of these false charges, not only would the media have blown both stories up into something much bigger and longer-lasting (which is why they were begging Romney to respond), but today’s poll numbers would likely look entirely different. Obama and the media had set up a no-win situation.

But what they didn’t count on was Romney refusing to play.

If you look at the state of the race today, we have 119 days to the election, Romney and the Republicans raised $106 million last month, $35 million more than Obama and the Democrats.

Obama has already spent a ton of money and begun to punch himself out with his best attacks.

Romney, however, hasn’t even gotten started and has 16 weeks to expose before the voting public this president’s failed record. And to do so only after people are paying attention.

The media is brilliant at creating a false reality that has nothing to do with what’s happening out there in the world. If you watch CNN and MSNBC, you would think the roof was caving in on Romney over outsourcing and his personal wealth, but that’s what the media wants us to believe in order to control the narrative and to get Romney to dance to their tune. 

Thank heaven, Romney isn’t falling for it.

Right now it’s Obama who’s acting erratic and panicked and like a loser, not Romney.

I like our chances and I love the discipline I’m seeing from Team Romney.

***

This will be a bit short.  It caught my eye. Due to my experiences with Sprint before I retired, I have had some exposure to this issue.

The core issue is buying Chinese chips and telecom equipment. The intelligence community is concerned those items may contain Trojans that could provide the Chinese a gateway into our innermost secure voice and data networks.

Sprint, like most of the telecom providers, have governmental contracts to create private and secure voice and data networks for various federal agencies, like the FBI and IRS, as well as for the Department of Defense.  By contractual requirement, the hardware, the equipment used to created these private networks must be domestic.  In cases of a unique requirement, a waiver can be granted if there is sufficient justification. That is rare, however. There really isn’t a requirement that can’t be fulfilled with a domestic product.

The question arises with those domestic vendors.  Does their equipment contain Chinese components?  In many cases, since the US chip production has mostly fled overseas, the only source for some specialized components is…Chinese.

Now it appears that the fears of our Intelligence Agencies that those Chinese components do contain Trojans, gateways to external communications monitors, have been verified.

 

FBI Targets Chinese Firm Over Iran Deal

Feds: Telecom giant ZTE illegally shipped U.S.-made components

JULY 12–The FBI has opened a criminal investigation targeting a leading Chinese telecommunications firm that allegedly conspired to illegally ship hardware and software purchased from U.S. tech firms to Iran’s government-controlled telecom company, a violation of several federal laws and a trade embargo imposed on the outlaw Islamic nation, The Smoking Gun has learned.

The federal probe, launched earlier this year, has also uncovered evidence that officials with the Chinese company, ZTE Corporation (ZTE), are “engaged in an ongoing attempt to corruptly obstruct and impede” a Department of Commerce inquiry into the tainted $130 million Iranian transaction, according to a confidential FBI affidavit.

Officials with ZTE allegedly began plotting to cover up details of the Iranian deal after Reuters reported on the transaction in late-March. The news agency revealed that the telecom equipment sold to Iran was a “powerful surveillance system capable of monitoring landline, mobile, and Internet communications.” Included in the material sent to Iran were products manufactured by U.S. firms like Microsoft, Oracle, Cisco Systems, Dell, and Symantec.

Concerned that they could no longer “hide anything” in the wake of the Reuters report, ZTE lawyers discussed shredding documents, altering records, and lying to U.S. government officials, according to an insider’s account provided to FBI agents by a Texas lawyer who last year began serving as general counsel of ZTE’s wholly owned U.S. subsidiary. ZTE, the world’s fourth largest telecom equipment manufacturer, is publicly traded, though its controlling shareholder is a Chinese state-owned enterprise.

The FBI probe is being run out of the bureau’s Dallas office by agents assigned to a counterintelligence and counterespionage squad. Like the Department of Commerce investigation (and a related congressional inquiry being conducted by the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence), the FBI opened its case following the March 22 Reuters story by reporter Steve Stecklow.

During a May 2 interview with two FBI agents, Yablon provided a startling account of his interaction with ZTE representatives who were once eager to devise strategies that would allow them to sell phones containing U.S. made components to “banned” countries. But following the Reuters story, Yablon recalled, the Chinese officials sought to obscure details of the illegal backdoor Iranian deal and, in the process, stymie U.S. government investigators circling the multinational company.

The FBI affidavit reveals that ZTE recently informed the Department of Commerce that it would not comply with an administrative subpoena served on the company seeking records of the nine-figure Iran transaction. Yablon told the FBI that he learned that ZTE officials “had contacted the PRC [People’s Republic of China] government, which was prepared to advise [the company] that if it complied with the DoC administrative subpoena, it would be violating PRC law.”

Days after the Reuters story was published, Yablon recalled, he spoke with ZTE lawyer Xue Xing Ma (also known as “Marsha”), who said the company was concerned about how the news outlet obtained a copy of the 907-page packing list for the system shipped to Telecommunication Company of Iran (TCI).  “Marsha told Yablon the corporation was concerned because it could no longer ‘hide anything,’” reported Agent Carwile.

The story gets more weird as it progresses. Evidence now in FBI hands appear to prove the Chinese have sold, illegally, US technology to countries under export and technology embargoes.  It also presents information that the systems were designed to provide monitoring gateways to allow those governments to spy on their citizens.

This issue will not be resolved soon.  Government regulations that has driven our production overseas, or has driven our production out of business must be abolished. We’ve become our own worse enemy under a government who appears to be a willing accomplice to our foreign and domestic enemies.

Tuesday’s Thoughts

VEEP Joe Biden was in town yesterday for a fundraiser for Claire “Mommy-mouth” McCaskill.  Only the party elites were invited. It was a closed, private session. No one from the public was wanted.  Why, they may ask some embarrassing questions like, “If you are against Obamacare as you now claim, why did you vote for it?”  Can’t have that!

The only public notice so far is the disruption of traffic as Biden’s entourage wanders around town. It must keep the KCPD on their toes blocking traffic everytime Biden turns left when he should have turned right.

***

Like New York, Illinois and California, Maryland increased taxes on the “rich.” Guess what?  Maryland lost population since those tax increases were enacted and actually lost revenue.

Published: Monday, 9 Jul 2012 | 11:52 AM ET

A new report says wealthy Maryland residents may be moving out due to recent tax hikes – a finding that is sure to escalate the battle over taxing the American rich.The study, by the anti-tax group Change Maryland, says that a net 31,000 residents left the state between 2007 and 2010, the tenure of a “millionaire’s tax” pushed through by Gov. Martin O’Malley. The tax, which expired in 2010, in imposed a rate of 6.25 percent on incomes of more than $1 million a year.

The Change Maryland study found that the tax cost Maryland $1.7 billion in lost tax revenues.  A county-by-county analysis by Change Maryland also found that the state’s wealthiest counties also had some of the largest population outflows.

In total, Maryland has added 24 new taxes or fees in recent years, Change Maryland says. Florida, which has no income-tax, has been a large recipient of Maryland’s exiled wealthy.

That’s known as voting with their feet. It takes a particular style of stupidity to believe folks will just stand there and accept more taxes when they can do something about it.

***

I saw a column today that rang bells in my mind.  I just don’t believe the story as written. Something has been misreported, misunderstood or somebody’s lying.

The story goes like this. A woman approached an off-duty police office from the rear, hugged him and “the gun just went off all by itself!”  The woman was shot through the lung and heart and died at a local hospital.

Let me list the things in this story that I question.

  1. Guns just don’t fire all by themselves.  The trigger must be pulled. Question #1 is how did the trigger get pulled?
  2. According the to story, the pistol was in a holster. Modern holsters are designed to cover the trigger and trigger guard to prevent the trigger from being pulled or from being snagged — while in the holster. Since the woman hugged the cop’s back, the muzzle of the pistol had to be horizontal and to the rear. That implies the pistol was in a shoulder holster. Every shoulder holster I’ve seen covers the trigger. Question #2 is how did the trigger get pulled?
  3. The wound included the lung and heart. If you look at an anatomical chart of the human body you’ll notice that to shoot someone in the lung and heart, the bullet must pass through the body from an angle or from the side. It unlikely a bullet passing from front to the rear would hit both the heart and lung. If the woman hugged the cop’s back and the gun went off, the bullet should have grazed her ribs.  Or, she hugged him from the side. Again, the story has some holes.

Of course we must remember, this happened in Detroit.

There are so many facts in this story that just doesn’t ring true. I suspect someone was playing with the gun — fast draw maybe — and the trigger was pulled.That happened here in KC, in the KCPD police locker room some years ago.  No one was hit in that instance as I remember.

Here is the story as it was reported by the AP.

Police: Hug triggers officer’s gun, kills woman

Jul 8, 11:28 PM (ET)

DETROIT (AP) – A woman celebrating the weekend before her 25th birthday was fatally shot Sunday when she hugged an off-duty police officer while dancing at a party, causing the officer’s service weapon to fire, according to police and her mother.

Adaisha Miller would have turned 25 on Monday, according to her mother, Yolanda McNair.

The shooting happened at an outdoor social gathering about 12:30 a.m., said police Sgt. Eren Stephens. It happened on the city’s west side.

According to Stephens, the woman “embraced the officer from behind, causing the holstered weapon to accidently discharge.” The bullet punctured Miller’s lung and hit her heart, and she died at a hospital.

Stephens said the Detroit officer will remain on administrative duties while authorities investigate the shooting and report their findings to the Wayne County prosecutor. The officer’s name was not released.

It appears to me this story was written to enhance the myth that guns, all weapons for that matter, are sentient and evil. Guns just wait for an opportunity to go off “all by themselves” and kill someone.

Yep, that sounds like the AP. Perpetuating the myth.