Random Points

Today is a historic day.  It’s been 43 years since Teddy Kennedy swam off abandoning Mary Jo Kopechne and leaving her to drown.

1969: After a party on Chappaquiddick Island, Senator Ted Kennedy drives off a wooden bridge into a tide-swept pond and his passenger, Mary Jo Kopechne, dies.

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It’s the Primary season here in Missouri.  The primary will arrive on August 7th, less than a month away.  Here in Cass County ‘Pub yard signs are sprouting like mushrooms — or toadstools if you’re a democrat.  If you’ve been observant, you won’t see many, if any, democrat signs.  Why? Because they have tightly controlled their members to insure there is no primary opposition.  Like a swarm of lemmings, the dems are in lockstep with their party.  That right there says a lot about them.  Mindless robots operating according to their party’s programming.

The following article is for the ‘Pub winners. I know the dems won’t read it. They’ll follow orders blindly. At least the ‘Pubs show more independence…usually.

Keeping Taxes Low At State Level Is Key To Growth

By REX SINQUEFIELD AND TRAVIS H. BROWN

 Posted 07/17/2012 05:45 PM ET

State taxes impact economic performance more than most people imagine. While the majority of attention is paid to the federal tax code, the evidence suggests that state taxes are just as important in determining economic competitiveness and often mean the difference between economic success and failure.

The level and form of state taxation varies greatly, from no-income-tax states such as Florida and Texas to states like Hawaii and Oregon, which have the highest personal income tax rates in the nation (11%).

Similarly, economic performance over the last decade has varied dramatically among the 50 states, with Illinois, California and New York performing very poorly, while Texas flourishes. Differences in state tax policies help explain this record.

The U.S. economy, in the words of Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, is heading for a massive tax cliff. The expiration of the 2001-2003 tax cuts, the expiration of the payroll tax cut and new taxes enacted as part of ObamaCare will completely upend the existing federal tax code.

Given this state of affairs and the political gridlock in Washington, D.C., the best one can hope for is the extension of some of the existing tax rates and the avoidance of a disastrous, massive tax increase in January 2013.

The chances for substantive tax reform that would make the U.S. more competitive are slim, given the administration’s preoccupation with tax “fairness” and demonizing the rich. On the other hand, state taxes are ripe for reform, and many governors around the country are leading the charge to reduce or do away with their state income taxes all together.

Tax reforms happening at the state level are much more likely to succeed than anything coming out of Washington D.C., and the evidence shows that cutting state personal income taxes can have a dramatic impact on economic performance. State tax reform is, therefore, the best chance to improve the competitiveness of the United States in this global race for jobs and prosperity.

If you have read any of my writings, you know that I am not a fan of replacing the income tax with a sales tax.  After conversations with a number of folks, I’m modifying my view…somewhat: I am not supporting replacing the income tax with a sales tax—at the federal level.

We don’t have the conservative strength to implement the concept at the federal level. What we will have is both a national sales tax—morphing into a VAT tax the next time the libs gain control of Congress—as well as an income tax.  However, I now believe the concept, replacing the income tax with a sales tax, can be done correctly at the state level.

There is ample evidence of the impact that state income taxes have on economic performance. Taxpayer data from the IRS Division of Statistics shows that during the last 15 years, Texas and Florida have gained $20.7 billion and $84.3 billion in annual adjusted gross income (AGI) due to migration, respectively. During the same time period, New York, California and Illinois have lost $58.6 billion, $32 billion and $26.3 billion of annual AGI, respectively.

Nine states today do not levy a broad personal income tax, while two of those nine tax only dividends and interest. Altogether, the nine states without a personal income tax have gained $146 billion in annual AGI, while the nine states with the highest income taxes have lost $124 billion. This translates to $26.7 million gained per day for the no income tax states, and $22.6 million lost per day for the highest tax states.

Critics claim that migration has nothing to do with taxes, that it occurs for other reasons such as climate or “long established migration patterns.” Yet great weather hasn’t helped Hawaii, which has lost almost $300 million in AGI over the last 15 years. Similarly, if “migration patterns” are responsible, why is Nevada, which has no income tax, gaining wealth, while its neighbor California, which has some of the highest taxes, losing wealth?

The correlation between wealth migration and tax policy can even be seen in the Dakotas, with North Dakota (which has an income tax) consistently losing wealth to South Dakota (which does not impose a state income tax). The differences in economic performance between the states are profound and cannot be explained by anecdotes. — Investor’s Business Daily.

For those of you unfamiliar with wealth migration, it’s more popularly known as “voting with their feet.” One of my continuing concerns about any sales tax is that it taxes behavior and consumption.  Like anything being taxed, when you tax something, you get less of it. 

That is true with consumption taxes as well. A decade or so ago, the feds decided to tax “luxury” items. Items like personal aircraft, yachts and other items.  The Law of Unintended Consequences kicked in.  The Yacht industry was destroyed. At my last look, there are still no US owned yacht builders in the US. Most went out of business or moved off-shore. (Thank you, democrats.)

The private aircraft industry fared little better. Historic aircraft companies like Cessna, Piper, Beechcraft filed for bankruptcy. None of them are now US owned.  In fact Beechcraft, now known as Hawker-Beechcraft, was just sold to a Chinese company. It is a lesson to be remembered. Taxing consumption kills businesses.

Wealth lost by a state is wealth lost forever. Individuals pay not only state income taxes, but also sales taxes, property taxes and various other government fees. When taxpayers leave, they take with them not only this year’s income but also the present value of all future income and taxes, not to mention the impact that their consumer spending would have on the local economy.

Similarly, when businesses decide to leave, they take jobs with them. Over the last 15 years, New York State lost $58.6 billion in annual AGI. When using a 5% discount rate, the present value of this lost income is over $1.1 trillion, while New York City’s entire operating budget in 2011 was only $65.8 billion, according to its budget office.

While in any given year the gains or losses due to taxpayer migration may seem small, this impact becomes huge when compounded over time.

There are lessons to be learned here that our state representatives and senators should—must understand. Per capita spending in Missouri is surprisingly high. Higher than all our neighbors, even Illinois. We’re fortunate that the port fees on our rivers provide a significant portion of our state revenues. That can change quickly, however, if we, as a state, aren’t observant and proactive to preserve our non-tax sources of income.

I urge you to read the entire article. There’s much more than I’ve quoted here. It is an education.

Missouri Drops in “Business Friendly State” Poll

Chief Executive magazine has a yearly poll of CEOs about which state they prefer doing business. For ten years in a row, Texas was in first place. 

Guess who was in last? Yep, California.  If you check the rankings below, you’ll find that all the so-called “blue states” are in the bottom: New York, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan and New Jersey.  These states are ranked as the the bottom five states.

2012 RANK STATE 2011 RANK 1-YEAR CHANGE
1 Texas 1 0
2 Florida 3 1
3 North Carolina 2 -1
4 Tennessee 4 0
5 Indiana 6 1
6 Virginia 7 1
7 South Carolina 8 1
8 Georgia 5 -3
9 Utah 9 0
10 Arizona 13 3
11 Colorado 12 1
12 Nevada 10 -2
13 Louisiana 27 14
14 Delaware 16 2
15 North Dakota 21 6
16 Wyoming 14 -2
17 Oklahoma 11 -6
18 Idaho 19 1
19 South Dakota 15 -4
20 Wisconsin 24 4
21 Alabama 26 5
22 Iowa 22 0
23 Kansas 25 2
24 Missouri 23 -1
25 Kentucky 17 -8
26 New Hampshire 18 -8
27 Nebraska 20 -7
28 Montana 28 0
29 Arkansas 30 1
30 Mississippi 38 8
31 Alaska 31 0
32 Maine 36 4
33 New Mexico 32 -1
34 West Virginia 42 8
35 Ohio 41 6
36 Minnesota 29 -7
37 Washington 34 -3
38 Vermont 40 2
39 Rhode Island 35 -4
40 Maryland 37 -3
41 Hawaii 43 2
42 Oregon 33 -9
43 Pennsylvania 39 -4
44 Connecticut 44 0
45 New Jersey 47 2
46 Michigan 46 0
47 Massachusetts 45 -2
48 Illinois 48 0
49 New York 49 0
50 California 50 0
 — ChiefExecutive.Net


Missouri is smack in the middle of the poll at number 24.  But, if you look closely, that is a one-position drop from last year.

What did Missouri do to drop a position? I don’t know. If I had a suspect, I’d most likely choose: State Regulations.  What can we do to improve our position?  First I’d look at those states on the top like Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Tennessee, and (Surprise!) Indiana.

This year, 650 business leaders responded to our annual survey, up from 550 in 2011. CEOs were asked to grade states in which they do business among a variety of areas, including tax and regulation, quality of workforce and living environment. The Lone Star State was given high marks foremost for its business-friendly tax and regulatory environment. But its workforce quality, second only to Utah’s, is also highly regarded. — ChiefExecutive.Net

But what else do these states have in common? If you examine the twenty  top ranked states you’ll also discover that every one is a RIght-to-Work state. Missouri is not.

It may be no accident that most of the states in the top 20 are also right-to-work states, as labor force flexibility is highly sought after when a business seeks a location. Several economists, most notably Ohio State’s Richard Vedder and Harvard’s Robert Barro, have found that the economies in R-to-W areas grow faster than other states, have higher employment and attract more inward migration. Governor Scott Walker’s battle with the unions in Wisconsin (See “Will Wisconsin Rise Again?”), a state that edged into the top 20 this year for this first time, demonstrates that the struggle for a pro-growth agenda can be contentious. As one Badger State business leader remarked, “Finally, Wisconsin is headed in the right direction.” — ChiefExecutive.Net

Perhaps if we really wanted to improve our state ranking we should emulate Louisiana.  In the last year, Louisiana increased their ranking by 13 positions.

…Louisiana, is the Cinderella of business improvement. In 2006, it ranked 47th—where Massachusetts is today. And Katrina didn’t help matters. But since then it has climbed steadily up the ranks so that it is now 13th—up from 27th last year—the biggest leap in a single year of any state. “In Louisiana there is an active government push to reduce taxes and regulation and to encourage new industry to relocate to the state,” commented one chairman. “This was valuable for one of our companies, which decided to make the state our headquarters.” Other chiefs point to the big strides the state has made in workforce training and economic incentives. Its economic development office is also aggressive in luring disaffected businesses from the Northeast and California. — ChiefExecutive.net

There are many lessons to be learned in this poll.  Let’s all urge our state Representatives and state Senators to read this report. Let’s urge them to study it and the tactics used by the top ranking states to improve our position.

From my viewpoint, we can do two things. First, create and pass, over the Governor’s veto if necessary Right-to-Work legislation. Second, let’s examine our regulations and regulatory agencies and pare both. Let’s give business the freedom to do business in our state. If we do those two things, we will ALL prosper.

Missouri Ranks 5th in personal and economic freedom

Here’s an interesting column from George Mason University.

Freedom in the 50 States

    An Index of Personal and Economic Freedom
    Jason Sorens, William Ruger | June 7, 2011

    Executive Summary

    This study comprehensively ranks the American states on their public policies that affect individual freedoms in the economic, social, and personal spheres. It updates, expands, and improves upon our inaugural 2009 Freedom in the 50 States study. For this new edition, we have added more policy variables (such as bans on trans fats and the audio recording of police, Massachusetts’s individual health-insurance mandate, and mandated family leave), improved existing measures (such as those for fiscal policies, workers’ compensation regulations, and asset-forfeiture rules), and developed specific policy prescriptions for each of the 50 states based on our data and a survey of state policy experts. With a consistent time series, we are also able to discover for the first time which states have improved and worsened in regard to freedom recently.

    The entire study can be downloaded in .pdf form.  But the info can be condensed into this ranking.

                                
     
    State Freedom Rankings

    Interesting isn’t it?  The Red states at the top, the bluest of the blue states at the bottom.  If I remember correctly, this study has been conducted for a number of years and each year bears the same, well mostly the same with a little reshuffling, results.
     

    Missouri Ranks 5th in personal and economic freedom

    Here’s an interesting column from George Mason University.

    Freedom in the 50 States

      An Index of Personal and Economic Freedom
      Jason Sorens, William Ruger | June 7, 2011

      Executive Summary

      This study comprehensively ranks the American states on their public policies that affect individual freedoms in the economic, social, and personal spheres. It updates, expands, and improves upon our inaugural 2009 Freedom in the 50 States study. For this new edition, we have added more policy variables (such as bans on trans fats and the audio recording of police, Massachusetts’s individual health-insurance mandate, and mandated family leave), improved existing measures (such as those for fiscal policies, workers’ compensation regulations, and asset-forfeiture rules), and developed specific policy prescriptions for each of the 50 states based on our data and a survey of state policy experts. With a consistent time series, we are also able to discover for the first time which states have improved and worsened in regard to freedom recently.

      The entire study can be downloaded in .pdf form.  But the info can be condensed into this ranking.

                                  
       
      State Freedom Rankings

      Interesting isn’t it?  The Red states at the top, the bluest of the blue states at the bottom.  If I remember correctly, this study has been conducted for a number of years and each year bears the same, well mostly the same with a little reshuffling, results.